Showing posts with label entitlement. Show all posts
Showing posts with label entitlement. Show all posts

Monday, August 16, 2010

The Keynesian Endpoint

The new hot topic appears to be the extension of the Bush tax cuts.  "Puppet Palin" is pitching it hard.

"Since Keynesian economics is no longer relevant, some are now arguing that tax cuts will save the day. Two of the academic studies we reviewed suggest that tax relief is a much stronger stimulus to the economy than government spending, and under normal circumstances this is probably true. But we are not in a normal economic environment. Even if the tax cuts implemented by George Bush in 2006 are extended by the next Congress, the US will still face the ‘Keynesian Endpoint’. A Government Accountability Office (GAO) report published in January 2010 states the following: “In our Alternative simulation, which assumes expiring tax provisions are extended through 2020 and revenue is held constant at the 40-year historical average; roughly 93 cents of every dollar of federal revenue will be spent on the major entitlement programs and net interest costs by 2020.”12 Extending tax cuts won’t solve anything."
Eric Sprott & David Franklin, Sprott Asset Management

The entire article:
http://www.sprott.com/Docs/MarketsataGlance/07_10%20Fooled%20by%20Stimulus.pdf

Saturday, March 27, 2010

Sinclair's Latest View of The World

''Let us not forget the reality that the US has plunged into levels of debt that we could not have previously imagined; nationalized healthcare has been met with fierce resistance nationwide; States are now litigating the demand for its citizens to sign up and/or be fined and imprisoned. TARP bailouts and stimulus spending have shown little positive effect on the national economy; unemployment is unacceptably high and looks to remain that way for most of a decade; legacy entitlement programs have ballooned to unsustainable levels, and there is a seething anger in the populace. The reality is that the financial crisis in the US now construct in the form of state failure exceeds any problems in Europe. Perspective is now in the marketplace, but reality will carry the day in terms of trend. Gold will trade at $1650 and better. The US dollar is no safe haven from anything.''
Jim Sinclair, Gold Market Analyst (www.JSMineSet.com March 25th)