Showing posts with label euphoria. Show all posts
Showing posts with label euphoria. Show all posts

Friday, December 4, 2009

The Steep Curve

The steepness of the curve of stock prices since March 2009 really concerns me. What concerns me more is that it has all been artificially stimulated. At some point, reality sets in. Euphoria continues to creep back into the American mindset. These things cause concern for me. Moments ago, I sold 50% of my IRA portfolio (100% of all non-commodity holdings). January 2010 will be an awakening for many.


The slope of the sand pile appears too steep to me......again. Look at the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average below and note the steepness of the curve from March 6 to current. Remember, I brought closure to the confession in May.


Don't forget the tech bubble burst and dotcom meltdown (below). Note how steep that curve was just prior to the collapse.Charts sourced from www.bigcharts.com.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Wave 2 Psychology

"The stock market rebound since March counts well as a Primary Wave Two. In Elliott Wave analysis of wave two personality in a bear market, this means investors are thoroughly convinced that the bull is back. Aggressive euphoria and denial abound. This compliments the talk of “recovery” that dominates the noise of what passes for news."
Elliott Wave International