Monday, August 16, 2010

The Keynesian Endpoint

The new hot topic appears to be the extension of the Bush tax cuts.  "Puppet Palin" is pitching it hard.

"Since Keynesian economics is no longer relevant, some are now arguing that tax cuts will save the day. Two of the academic studies we reviewed suggest that tax relief is a much stronger stimulus to the economy than government spending, and under normal circumstances this is probably true. But we are not in a normal economic environment. Even if the tax cuts implemented by George Bush in 2006 are extended by the next Congress, the US will still face the ‘Keynesian Endpoint’. A Government Accountability Office (GAO) report published in January 2010 states the following: “In our Alternative simulation, which assumes expiring tax provisions are extended through 2020 and revenue is held constant at the 40-year historical average; roughly 93 cents of every dollar of federal revenue will be spent on the major entitlement programs and net interest costs by 2020.”12 Extending tax cuts won’t solve anything."
Eric Sprott & David Franklin, Sprott Asset Management

The entire article:
http://www.sprott.com/Docs/MarketsataGlance/07_10%20Fooled%20by%20Stimulus.pdf

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